Jump to content

Outdoor Man

Members
  • Posts

    2,244
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Everything posted by Outdoor Man

  1. When ride ops do that, it just comes off as poor training. Maybe park supervisors encourage it.... I highly doubt it though; it's more of a blind eye and trying to be the "cool" supervisor. If they want to make effective use of the PA system, then help theme up their ride- stop the idiotic telling people to enjoy your ride on The Beast- when they are on Diamondback. Use the mic to reinforce the ride and theme. Haven't been yet this year but Orion looks to be about as well themed as anything they've installed in a while. There's a story there- i hope the ride ops use creativity to "theme" it.
  2. he did. State was served a lawsuit... Dewine relented.
  3. maybe sooner than July... Ohio HB665 submitted to Dewine with bipartisan support to all for immediate reopening of amusements parks, zoos, and waterparks. He could veto it.... but i doubt he will.
  4. Not a conspiracy theory person at all... but Georgia mostly reopened 3-4 weeks ago. MANY were saying it was stupid; they'll be the next New York, just wait- it'll be just like Italy. Result- daily infection and death rate have been flat since March 30. Florida reopened... infection rate scaling down- death rates flat. We've been trained to hear that places reopening equals a huge spike in the virus. I think that parks (KI, CF, Six, etc...) need to get open. Lobby the states to push the start of school to Labor day to give 'that much longer" and restore 4 weeks to the summer operations (which, by the way, employ a ton of people). Politically I don't think I agree with five things Bill Maher says. I respect what he says because he's incredibly consistent and doesn't usually flip between popular views- even if I do disagree with it. He is spot on in the video he had on May 1. It doesn't contain "family friendly" language so I won't post the link here- but I agree 100%.
  5. If Ohio follows the same trajectory as Georgia has- which despite opening back up 2-3 weeks ago has had an infection curve that's been basically flat since March 31- opening sooner than July could be possible. With any virus or infectious bacteria- being outdoors is the best place one can be rather than being cooped up breathing the same air over and over. Regardless, when they do open- we're looking at what will be the most sanitary environment EVER at the park. My guess is that disinfectant was NEVER used on line queues throughout the year, even when the random patron blew chunks in the lines.... Now, maybe several times daily for a while after opening.
  6. parks will probably opt to play "small ball" for a few years to freshen the parks and add cost-effective experience-driven attractions and addons.
  7. I'm in agreement with most of your post. But the context of my post wasn't to compare the death rates of COVID-19 to Cardio Vascular Disease. It was to say that the way that policy makers have addressed the current situation is going to have a fairly significant unintended consequence in the coming few years.
  8. this can go back and forth. I'm more concerned of the 8-12% uptick in cardio vascular disease that will be brought on from shelter in place, lack of mobility, no exercise that comes from just not being out. 640,000 die from cardio vascular disease every year. a 10% increase is an additional 64,000 in that tally. That's my demographic. Disney, Universal, and apparently Six are looking to open on or around June 1. My guess is that Cedar Fair properties won't be too far behind. I, for one, cannot wait to get out and begin to resume some semblance of a routine. Really, I just want a haircut.
  9. I'll reply since I've posted death rate stats. Over the last 6 weeks many people (myself included) have stored an extra pound or two... or three on our frame that otherwise wouldn't have been there had this not come up. I am of the age and demographic that will be staring down the barrel of a spike in cardio vascular disease brought on by these policy moves. Don't get me wrong, I like to get out and live in a place where we can get out and move around... but lets be honest- the weather has been terrible. People have lost jobs and are entering despair, depression, etc... and there has already been an uptick in the suicide rate. close to 650,000 people per year in the US die of Cardio Vascular disease. One of the studies they're not publishing from the CDC is the projected 8-12% rise in cardio vascular disease over the next 18-24 months. That is an annual increase of 52,000-78,000. Again, they're just projections- but it will be substantial either way. I am in that demographic. I don't want to toss around numbers frivolously- but which is the bigger risk? The longer the shelter in place restrictions go on... the more suicide rates will go up. Just the low-end increase projections for Cardio Vascular and Suicide over one year top the current total projections for COVID. These numbers don't even touch unrelated deaths due to the temporary pause in elective surgeries that would otherwise be necessary. This is, unfortunately, the dilemma facing policy makers, and it's not one I would want to make. Not trying to throw darts at the comment- Just giving throwing another opinion into the basket. MOD's, don't delete respectful exchange of ideas. As best I see there's no "ALL CAPS" going on...
  10. A frustrating, yet nice, thing is that the news literally changes every day. Most times- several. I think the antibody tests are the most significant news items to come out. If the results remain consistent with what's happening in California and Chicago (ie- infection rates being 85 times what's reported)- meaning CA would have a total infection tally of 2.5M with total deaths of 1,100. Still a very contagious disease, but that calculation gives a death rate of 0.04%. I look to see what the antibody tests reveal. it's the first set of data that is useful going forward. The infection rate is going to continue going up as more and more testing come online. There was a chart put out by the CDC, dated 4/1, I think when the total deaths numbered 13,130 in the US. Total deaths of everyone in the US under the age of 34 was 129 (or less than 1% of COVID deaths). Add in age 35-44 the total was 3%. Even add in <55 group and it was still 8%. These aren't my numbers, this is the CDC. What does this mean? Everyone from Government to Businesses are still making decisions in the fog with little (but beginning to emerge) data.
  11. Hershey Park (PA) planning to open early June. 2020 Season Passes good through June 29, 2021 (I thought KI would do that). https://www.pennlive.com/entertainment/2020/04/hersheypark-announces-when-they-hope-to-open-for-2020-summer-season-and-news-for-season-pass-holders.html
  12. Wow. That will buy a ton of goodwill for the parks. - little shy on the revenue side though. I would have been happy with a proportional extension and a prorated buy for 2021.
  13. so... help me here: "extended into 2021." Leaves some room for interpretation here: is that extended into... as in equivalent to time deducted in 2020- ie- park opens June 1, 2020- so the 2020 Season Pass is good through June 1, 2021? Or is it, season passes are extended "through" 2021?
  14. First, politics is a no-no on the site. Secondly, this is unprecedented in the history of the US and likely the modern world. There is no manual on this. The President can only act on information given and in the absence of data, guess. There is NO evidence that any previous or future administration would handle this differently, better or worse. Dr. Fauci served in the Clinton, Bush, and Obama Adm. He's a smart/intelligent person- and the President and other leaders appear to listen to him (as well as Dr. Birx). So, honestly, don't care what side of the political aisle you sit on- your comment above... (I've deleted several versions of the end of this sentence and will just leave blank).
  15. it is. The projection was between 5-6 million infections. In the end, though, that is up to 36,000+ deaths- mostly of older parent and grandparent age... Let's pray for strong results with the recent treatment options coming out.
  16. I think this one will be different. If multiple waves keep occurring and a vaccine has been showing positive results they may fast track. I'm not medical or in Govt. so is purely my own opinion.
  17. My fear on this is- probably a year after this situation is past tense- that we'll see that the Coronavirus was highly contagious but in the end, deadly, but not as deadly as reported (in the US anyway). I read a journal that states that the virus has been present and growing in the US since mid-December. They report that of the 180,000 cases confirmed in the US- only those with mild-severe symptoms are getting tested and only 20% of them test positive. They state, however, our actual numbers of those infected (currently and recovered) are unknown. "Easily double, without breaking a sweat. Probably more like 4 or 5 times the reported number and deaths early on were simply attributed to the flu or pneumonia before we really knew what was happening." They also estimate that the death toll is probably approx 500 higher because of this. So, my fear is that when all is said and done we look back and have an illness with a calculated mortality rate of <0.5%. using their numbers alone of 4000 deaths divided by 720,000 infections = 0.56% That is to say, we're not going to know completely for probably another 18 months.
  18. I would still stress, we are less than a month into this. Less than 3 weeks ago I was in 4 airports in 2 days and didn't spend much time thinking about it. If that business trip had been a week later I may have reconsidered. Here in the US, we have barely completed one "incubation" cycle and lack data to make decisions on. I work as a consultant/contractor for one of the Orlando resorts and they have told me that they have only made their decisions to what the state of Florida and local authorities have allowed because simply... they don't know. There have been tremendous medical breakthroughs in the past 10 days. Keep in mind, we're really less than 21 into it. The next 10 should bring results from the past 10 days. NOW, that said- these breakthroughs involve treatments. Prevention will continue to be an issue for... who knows. Vaccines are already in development- less than 3 weeks- but it may be months before they are approved.
  19. The news cycle on this changes every day. Just two weeks ago I passed through 4 airports in the span of two days, at which time everyone was mostly clueless about what was going on. Most in leadership were reacting to very, very limited data. The news cycle, and narrative are going to change literally daily. Remember, we're just over 2 weeks into this. The private sector and those 'evil' pharmaceutical companies (that are going to eventually solve the problem) really hadn't ratcheted their efforts up. In 10 days time the chloquine treatment had gone from an unknown to resolving cases in as little as 5 days. We're only a little over 2 weeks in. Social distancing suggestions may remain in effect for a while, but more positive news is coming. The American free market is the best place for innovation in the world. 2 and a half weeks in and the last week has yielded some great, positive developments. I'll revisit my comment on April 10.
  20. this has probably been mentioned before, but I think they need to rename Orion... more hills and valleys, scarier than Haunt, unpredictable swings...
  21. It's going to spike. Not necessarily because there are a ton of "new" cases- though that may be the case- but with all of the testing kits coming online, we're going to discover infections "already" present that weren't accounted for. The whole arc of human history has been marked with chaos: disease, famine, drought, floods, earth quakes, more disease, war, etc... This is our turn to go through it collectively. Looking at the stats and how this has emerged I'm kind of surprised that a certain level of sequester didn't occur during the Swine Flu pandemic a decade ago. I know, it's not apples-to-apples, but it was serious. When all is said and done... and this will be temporary, there is no other place I'd rather live in the "aftermath" than in the US.
  22. Plus, my understanding is this reaches three weeks out. Things can change, but, KI is still, yet, a month out.
×
×
  • Create New...