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About medford

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  1. I'd hate to be that guy on any day, let alone during this. but it does bring up a point, if/when KI opens up there likely will be rides/attractions like ET that remain closed. I'm guessing in 2 weeks time we will have a much clearer idea on the chances that KI opens up at all this year.
  2. I highly doubt we go from 0-100 in a day. the updated models for whatever they are worth, keep showing the "worst" case scenarios lowering, and the "peak" coming sooner. If Ohio truely peaks this week as the latest models show, the data will clearly back that up by the time the current "stay in place" order expires. If the models updated over the weekend are wrong, they will also clearly know that by the end of the month. That state will not open back up prior to the end of the month. When it does open back up, it will do so gradually, schools with less than a month to go, will likely stay on the "learn from home" programs they are doing now. Perhaps gatherings of up to 50 or 100 people will be acceptable. Little league games? Maybe assuming all but things like the LLWS gather far less than 100 people. Places like Movie Theaters may open, but seating will be limited and spread out. Places like KI, would open up later. Professional sporting evens will be "fan free", etc... In otherwords, when it first opens up, social distancing will still be in order to an extent, similar to what we saw at the start of social distancing. Give that a couple of weeks to perhaps a month and if things look like they've stayed positive and a 2nd wave isn't present, more things will open up. Things will slowly open up, both by order, but also by human desire/ability. If you had just been laid off and money is tight, you probably are not going to spring for day tickets to KI or a fancy trip somewhere. If you had been laid off and are now back at work, you probably aren't going to be asking for vacation in the first couple of months (some don't even give that option). Many people will also be hesitant to re-enter crowded places. I doubt people are going to jump to pack the bars, or movie theaters or anywhere else. No matter if that re-opening starts in May, June, August or next year, it will re-open slowly, not all at once.
  3. I'm guessing part of the thinking is "if we can open, we find a way to make them want to come in" Should KI open this year, the turnstiles will be heavy thanks to Orion, but overall I expect the numbers to be down, and down even sharper at places that don't have anything new and shiny to show off. Additionally, a gradual re-opening could mean that trains leave the station with only every other row open, so that dispatches are limited. There are also people that will be getting checks from the government in the coming months, some of which are trying to think of something FUN to do with that money.
  4. https://covid19.healthdata.org/ IMHE released their updated projections over the weekend. According to this, the US will peak in about a week, Ohio will peak in resources need in a couple of days, and deaths in 6 days. Hope they are right; there may be a Kings Island season after all, eventually.
  5. I've seen several Congo Falls... While the ride is brief, the wait is as well, and its got one of the best drops in the entire park. If you are worried about getting wet, sit in the middle back and you likely won't get very wet. Its worth the 5 minutes it takes to walk thru the typically empty que to hope on. I doubt the attraction is going to be around too much longer (just a hunch that eventually that and Invertigo will get removed for a new attraction
  6. The upcharged rides and Delirium for sure. Maybe the scrambler and shake rattle and role (can't rule out riding them as a very young kid, but for most of my life riding things that spun too much made me naseous, so if I did I can't remember it). WindSeeker. The Linus flying ride, and the kite eating tree. and Orion, which would have given rides out by now, even if it was just KI personal (perhaps it already has)
  7. I think you'd get a lot of baseball enthusiast, but I'd consider myself both. I'd definitely consider taking my family to KI, I wouldn't bother with a Reds game as i can watch that on TV. But none of that matters much if they can't get a cure for the worst symptoms. W/o that, I don't see anyway a place like KI opens up in any sort of regular way. Baseball could open up w/o fans in the stands w/ less restrictions
  8. ^^ lets say it works, I doubt they have enough to give it to anyone that is diagnosed with mild symptoms, but I got the impression that there is a decent amount on hand to give to those with the worst symptoms and already on ventilators for several days.
  9. I think it depends on the venue. Lets say things get positive and social distancing is lessened at the end of April and KI opens up Memorial Day weekend. While some will avoid the park and crowds, there will be enough people to ensure that Orion has 2 hour waits that weekend. Baseball games on the other hand, people probably wouldn't be quite as motivated to pack the house when you can watch the game on TV.
  10. I don't know if this will happen, but here is a scenario: they find a drug or combo of drugs that can reliably treat the symptoms for a high percentage of the worst case victoms of Covid-19. Perhaps that is the Z-pack/Hydro Chloroquine (sp?) that was just approved as an emergency measure, perhaps it is something else like using the anti-bodies from people that have recovered or caught the virus and never showed symptoms, but if they can treat the people that have the most severe cases, add in temperature sensors like I've seen in China at the metal detectors, I can envision a scenario where the park opens up around Memorial Day with little fear of death. People may continue to get sick, similar to the flue, but if the fear of death is removed from the average citizen things can get back to "normal" or at least closer to "normal". I'd imagine those with compromised health should remain extra careful and probably those who are in regular contact with them. No scientific evidence, but not a sci-fi scenario either. I'm not saying that it even probably, I'm not qualified to know how any of the drugs they are testing right now are working, but I do think once they have a relatively safe and reliable cure the nation in general can move forward. Unlike standard times, it won't take forever for something that "works" to get approval, cause when people are on their death beds, you kind of put "safety" aside and try something that has worked on someone else. The more it keeps working, the more a doctor is willing to try it a bit sooner. Theme parks aside, my hope and beliefs are still in the medical research and implementation of the scientific community that some combo of drugs will be found in short order (ie end of the month) to keep the projected 40-80k deaths well below that mark. I hope I'm right.
  11. If they find a cure, they won't need to wait for a vaccine. The vaccine will take time and testing to ensure they are not pushing out a vaccine that does more damage than help as happened back in the 50s; a cure would be much, much quicker. As an example, there was an interview with a patient who took the malaria drug b/c a friend saw it mentioned on TV as showing signs of promise and mentioned it. He talked to his doctor about it, and the doctor told him about the potential side effects/risks and he figured, what the hell, "I'm not going to live past tomorrow anyways, might as well try it" When he woke up the next morning, all of his symptoms had dissipated. Now don't be stupid and take something with a similar sounding name used to clean fish tanks, take under Doctor's orders and only if you are really sliding, but if I though I was dying anyways heck yeah I'd give it a shot.
  12. Here is one article that states 81K is the most likely figure out of a U of Washington study https://nypost.com/2020/03/27/coronavirus-likely-to-kill-81k-in-us-over-next-four-months-study-warns/ One thing I noticed is that they said death tolls are unlikely to be less than 38K. I have faith in the American Medical and Research and I'll predict less than 38k US deaths, far less. God, please let me be right.
  13. I don't have a source on this, but according to Bill Cunningham on 700 WLW, the english doctor (or perhaps researcher) who was often quoted about the 2.5 million american deaths has revised his expectations down to 25,000 deaths. That's quite a bit different. The next couple of weeks will tell a huge story. Does Ohio's wave come and pass? or does it continue to rise as they were predicting today until mid-may? Are any of the medications being tried/administered today show strong(er) signs of being a real solution. If the Z-pack and whatever the other drug is called combo works as some are claiming, and works significantly well with little set back, many things can get back to normal, Or if some other combo is found to work well. Since they say a vast majority of people don't even know they have it, and even less show serious signs of symptoms, the drugs would not be administered to many. I've still got hope that this summer isn't lost.
  14. the way I understand it, the warm weather doesn't necessarily kill the virus any more or less than cold weather, at least not in a significant way, what it does however is limits how far it can travel and carry in the air from an infected patient. In the cold, often thin air, your air plume can travel up to 6 feet from your mouth, hence the 6 foot restriction. In the summer time, with warmer, more humid air, your air plume is often limited to 2 feet or less so the odds of transmission are significantly less. 2 feet puts you almost right on top of a person, and just out of common courtesy you are going to give someone more space than that. @ 6t you walk within an infected person's plume with out even thinking about it. The UV light does help, but as I understand it, that difference in Plume is why things die down in the summer. One thing different about this, is that you can transfer the bug despite being asymptomatic. If you have the typical flu, you only transfer it during the period you have a fever, which you are likely staying inside anyways. But if you can transfer it when not showing any signs, and you are at spring break on crowded beaches and clubs, you are within/ 2 feet of people constantly.
  15. I tried to look at the park hours for August, but it appears that info was taken down (along w/ the whole seasonal calendar). Typically, they go from full day operations to weekend operations around mid to late August, so lets say August 23 as the end of daily operations. If they don't open until August 1st, that would be 23 days of full day operation, 2 weekends of operations, then whatever weekends they added on thru and including Haunt. That is a very short window to recoup the cost it will take to train and hire the number of employees the park needs to operate. Additionally, I think it would be hard to hire the regular number of associates it normally hires, if you are a HS or college kid that is heading back to school in mid August, are you really going to bother with a job that you can only work for 2 weeks? Additionally, there will inevitably be a handful of days in that time frame that are virtual (if not literal) washouts due to inclement weather. There is also the risk, especially with a new coaster, that if they did open, they would be crushed in capacity in a short time frame, making for an unpleasant experience for guests. If they can't open up by mid June to early July, I'm afraid they won't open up at all until Halloween, if at all. There are a ton of logistics in the hiring and training of employees that be going on right now. That in and of itself will be a difficult task just to open up without everything being a complete #$%& show.
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