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Right Now a Cloudy Opening Day


Skywriter
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I was just looking at various weather reports and Accu Weather looks really far ahead to April 18 and they are saying Morning Showers and Cloudy a high of 66. Will this be true mostly not it will change a bit closer to the date but right not it don't sound too bad of a day what do you think ?

Here is where I found the info http

://www.accuweather.com/us/oh/mason/450...1&metric=0

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The weather aspect of planning theme park trips is so frustrating. I used to take a birthday trip to SFNE every year and weather was the most annoying factor. I usually wait until about 2 days before to really start to see what the weather will be because it can change very easily.

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I was just looking at various weather reports and Accu Weather looks really far ahead to April 18 and they are saying Morning Showers and Cloudy a high of 66. Will this be true mostly not it will change a bit closer to the date but right not it don't sound too bad of a day what do you think ?

I almost always check the forecast before making the 120 mile trip with the Cinci TV websites. In the 12 hours in advace before I go the forecast sometimers changes.... I say lets wait till we get about a day or 2 out, then we can get a better assesment of the weather situation.

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Yeah, but there is a chance for a dusting of snow on Tuesday!

And as far as predicting the weather on opening day for Kings Island on April 18th, any forecast for that date at this point in time is like a blind man throwing a dart at a map of the United States and hoping his dart lands on Cincinnati. When I went to Dollywood and Carowinds last weekend with Cory, they were calling for 80% chance of rain all day on Satruday up to even that morning. By 1 or 2, it had stopped raining and the sun was out by 5! Sometimes, even with all these sophisticated computers and modeling programs, mother nature does her own thing that goes against what all the models are predicting.

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Ugh.. I remember my first trip to Cedar Point. It was literally a downpour from here all the way to Sandusky for 4 straight hours. When we got there, there were people in raincoats leaving and telling us as we walked in not to waste our money.. it was raining that hard.

I'll wait out whatever weather is thrown at us. I'm not missing opening day for anything.

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I was just looking at various weather reports and Accu Weather looks really far ahead to April 18 and they are saying Morning Showers and Cloudy a high of 66. Will this be true mostly not it will change a bit closer to the date but right not it don't sound too bad of a day what do you think ?

Here is where I found the info http

://www.accuweather.com/us/oh/mason/450...1&metric=0

I would actually be very happy with weather like that on opening day.

EDIT: That's the spirit, Giga! We've been waiting too long for this day to let a little rain screw us out of it :)

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I have been hoping for "less than perfect" weather for opening day. Not enough to cause the rides to not operate, but just enough to deter some people from going so there will be shorter lines. I love to go on days when there are scattered rain showers, it clears out a considerable amount of the crowd, then the sun comes back out!

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EDIT: That's the spirit, Giga! We've been waiting too long for this day to let a little rain screw us out of it :)

Rain schmain, it's just water and it goes away eventually! Ain't nothin gonna stop this girl from visiting her beloved home park on its grand reopening day! ;)

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And as far as predicting the weather on opening day for Kings Island on April 18th, any forecast for that date at this point in time is like a blind man throwing a dart at a map of the United States and hoping his dart lands on Cincinnati.

That actually boils down to a 50/50 chance. I was involved in a study at MIT and we came to the conclusion that: If there were not enough sustainable variables or set facts, then there would be a 50/50 chance that any outcome would occur. In other words: The map is there, and the blind man is throwing the dart, it has a 50/50 chance of hitting any point on the map, or any where else in the area around the blind man. It is not until the dart hits the map or any other area around the blind man that the chances would change. So to put your statement in a meteorological sense, there is a 50/50 chance that any weather condition could occur.

Monroe, just trying to straiten things out.

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Huh? I think the odds of the blind man hitting Cincinnati on a map are highly more variable and unpredictable than 50/50! I mean, it would be like the odds of predicting the winning lottery numbers.

As a long time Reds fan, I have never once been to an opening day game! And the last six years, I have either been in school or at work during opening day! But it is a uniquely Cincinnati event. Other MLB teams and cities do not have such hoopla around opening day as what Cincinnati does. Part of that is because the Reds are the oldest professional baseball team.

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Huh? I think the odds of the blind man hitting Cincinnati on a map are highly more variable and unpredictable than 50/50! I mean, it would be like the odds of predicting the winning lottery numbers.

It's not until other variables are introduced does the chances change. If all we know is that a blind man is throwing a dart and Cincinnati is on a map, then your chances are 50/50. If we know what direction the man is facing, how far away is he, and so on...... then the odds would change.

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My only observation with the 10+ forecasts is that the temperature at least does seem to be ballpark. i.e. the temp's predicted for a 10+ forecast seem to be within +/- 5 degrees (this even held true last December when during a string of 20's Beast1979 posted a 12 day with high's in the 50's....guess what, a week and a half later the temp's were 50's for December).

So my only take away is that hopefully the high that day should be between 60-70 degrees, which is good! Otherwise, the forecast during the morning on the 15th will be the first really good idea.

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I checked the forcast on Accuweather two weeks ago to see what the forcast for the Reds' Opening Day would be. Guess what, they predicted rain in the morning with low 40s. Then a few days later, they changed the forcast to nearly 60. Then, about a week ago, they changed the forcast back to what they originally predicted and here it is. A couple of degrees cooler but we still had a little bit or rain. I've noticedd that Accuweather can be very accurate, even at two weeks out.

I think it would be better if it rained a little bit in the morning that way it would keep some people from showing up in the morning. Then it would give us a litle bit more time to ride with fewer people.

Edit: Now they are giving 58 and mostly cloudy.

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Huh? I think the odds of the blind man hitting Cincinnati on a map are highly more variable and unpredictable than 50/50! I mean, it would be like the odds of predicting the winning lottery numbers.

It's not until other variables are introduced does the chances change. If all we know is that a blind man is throwing a dart and Cincinnati is on a map, then your chances are 50/50. If we know what direction the man is facing, how far away is he, and so on...... then the odds would change.

This is why few physicists are wealthy beyond their wildest dreams....

Terpy, closer to philosophy than to M.I.T....

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Ill be there to get at lteast one Diamondback ride in. After that who knows. I am going to try and make it the Saturday after also. Hopefully Ill be able to get the park lots more times this year with gas prices so low. Last year it was hard getting there @ $4.oo. My what a year can change.

Yes, we are getting quite spoiled with the gas prices right now. I really hope they stay quite low through the summer. I know it slowed me down on making the 2 hr drive over last summer.

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Ill be there to get at lteast one Diamondback ride in. After that who knows. I am going to try and make it the Saturday after also. Hopefully Ill be able to get the park lots more times this year with gas prices so low. Last year it was hard getting there @ $4.oo. My what a year can change.

I hear that. This will be a better year for everyone with gas around half of what it was last year.

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